Archive for January 11th, 2011

“The Normalcy Bias and Bible Prophecy” by Todd Strandberg

Tuesday, January 11th, 2011

I’ve been in the business of warning people about the end times for several decades now. One of the hardest tasks is convincing people that danger is coming their way. They have fallen prey to what is commonly called the normalcy bias.

The normalcy bias occurs when people underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations in which people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster and, on a larger scale, the failure of the government to include the populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a catastrophe never has occurred, it never will. People judge their future according to how things have been in the past.

One of the most tragic examples of the normalcy bias is the experience of the Jews in Nazi Germany. Barton Biggs, in his book, Wealth, War, and Wisdom, gave a very good description of what happened:

By the end of 1935, 100,000 Jews had left Germany, but 450,000 [remained]. Wealthy Jewish families…kept thinking and hoping that the worst was over.

Many of the German Jews, brilliant, cultured, and cosmopolitan as they were, were too complacent. They had been in Germany so long and were so well established, they simply couldn’t believe there was going to be a crisis that would endanger them. They were too comfortable. They believed the Nazis’ anti-Semitism was an episodic event and that Hitler’s bark was worse than his bite. [They] reacted sluggishly to the rise of Hitler for completely understandable but tragically erroneous reasons. Events moved much faster than they could imagine.

We saw the same type of calamity occur with Hurricane Katrina. Even as it became obvious that the levee system was collapsing, thousands of people stayed in their homes, directly in the line of the oncoming waves of water. The residence of New Orleans had never seen a levee failure, so they simply didn’t believe it could happen. As a result, nearly 2,000 of them dead died in the flood.

The recent housing crisis was largely triggered by a normalcy bias. Since housing prices had never declined on a national scale for more than a few months, everyone felt safe about buying a home. Even though home prices had tripled in some markets, people still believed that housing prices would only move higher.

This same mindset is playing out in our national debt. Despite the facts that spending is out of control and debt is at levels that have always led to bankruptcy, there is only mild concern from investors. They have only known bonds to be 100 percent safe–and unlike stocks, they always retain their face value.

The normalcy bias has a strong relationship to Bible prophecy. Because we’ve never had famine, nuclear emergencies, earthquakes, and volcanic eruptions on a global scale, people assume these disasters will never happen. Most of the same people believe that there is a God, yet they refuse to believe the dire predictions made by Him.

“Knowing this first, that there shall come in the last days scoffers, walking after their own lusts. And saying, Where is the promise of his coming? For since the fathers fell asleep, all things continue as they were from the beginning of the creation” (2 Peter 3:3-4).

Situational awareness is the complete opposite of the normalcy bias. It involves having a full perception of your environment and a comprehension of what may transpire in the near future. Because other people may seek to provide you with false information, situational awareness requires you to be the guardian of your own life. Because we only have limited control over our fate, disaster can still strike from a thousand directions. The fault rests with us when we see danger coming and do nothing to get out of its way.

Humanity is facing a test right now that requires keen situational awareness. All the signs of the last days are coming together, and it’s important for everyone to know Jesus as the only One who can redeem them from the days to come.

“And when these things begin to come to pass, then look up, and lift up your heads; for your redemption draweth nigh” (Luke 21:28).

— Todd

Original Link.

Rush Limbaugh: What if Shooter were Named Muhammad?

Tuesday, January 11th, 2011

Good point.

PALM BEACH, Fla. – With waves of media stories suggesting possible causes for the Tucson, Ariz., shooting ranging from former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin to hateful speech on talk radio and the Internet, Rush Limbaugh is now posing a new question.

“Just ask yourself this. If the shooter had been a 22-year-old named Muhammad, would we be hearing that Muslim talk radio and the Muslim Internet blamed for it?” the top-rated host asked today. “No, we’d have been told that we can’t blame Muslims for the action of one kook.”

Limbaugh spent all three hours of his program today focusing on coverage of the weekend massacre that left Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, D-Ariz., in critical condition and six others dead.

Limbaugh called attempts by many on the left to make the shooter seem influenced by those on the political right “sick.”

“In continuing this template and narrative that the tea party and Sarah Palin, that talk radio and Fox News, are inspiring violence, they forget that, in the process of so doing, they are attacking what is now a majority of America,” Limbaugh said. “They are accusing a majority of Americans of being accomplices to murder. … It’s all just surreal. These people are making abject fools of themselves in open, public now.”

Limbaugh said he’s “always amused at how it’s never socio-economic causes or other influential items that cause behavior except when conservatives do it.”

“I wouldn’t be surprised if somebody in the Obama regime or some FCC bureaucrat or some Democrat congressperson’s already written up legislation to stifle and eliminate conservative speech and that legislation’s sitting in a desk drawer somewhere just waiting for the right event to clamp down,” Limbaugh said. “They can’t beat us, and so they’re going to do what they can to shut us down. And even if they don’t have popular political support for it, they will still try it. That’s what this is all about.”

He also noted that if there’s one side of the political spectrum that’s more prone to violent acts, it’s the left and not the right.

“Wherever there is mass violence, wherever there is mass murder, civil unrest or what have you, it’s leftists,” he said. “They’re the ones who don’t have jobs and who thus have the time.”

As WND reported, the suspected gunman, 22-year-old Jared Loughner listed “The Communist Manifesto” and Hitler’s “Mein Kampf” among his favorite reading materials.

Original Link.